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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144135100200176151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.92.5
63.065.4
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
red by 17.6
1918
#20
47.41.6
45.146.6
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End6.1
Second
2834
#31
45.92.5
41.443.8
Auto13.4
Teleop24.2
End8.2
blue by 0.9
46.91.6
41.543.1
Auto12.9
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Third
3667
#36
33.32.5
29.932.3
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 10.6
5901
#19
43.91.6
42.844.3
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned