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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14014450100200250115140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.71.8
51.649.9
Auto12.4
Teleop31.0
End11.3
blue by 6.1
61.71.1
64.963.7
Auto13.3
Teleop39.6
End8.1
Second
573
#23
39.91.8
46.745.0
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
red by 0.8
4216
#21
39.11.1
36.435.2
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Third
4377
#32
39.01.8
37.335.6
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
red by 3.9
6637
#35
35.11.1
33.732.6
Auto12.2
Teleop15.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned