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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051175015020012182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#22
38.30.7
37.237.9
Auto11.8
Teleop17.2
End9.3
blue by 3.4
3572
#11
41.81.8
47.946.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
Second
3603
#14
34.00.7
34.835.5
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
blue by 1.9
9226
#29
35.91.8
37.235.5
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Third
3096
#33
31.00.7
27.828.5
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End5.0
red by 6.4
4810
#40
24.61.8
23.221.5
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsMissed