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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161925020025012298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.21.3
59.157.7
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 20.2
6569
#28
38.00.1
32.232.1
Auto10.9
Teleop20.6
End6.3
Second
55.61.3
54.353.0
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
red by 18.6
4327
#25
37.00.1
36.536.4
Auto10.4
Teleop19.1
End7.7
Third
4325
#37
28.01.3
31.730.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
red by 6.2
6005
#39
21.80.1
26.126.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
83%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned