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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14214750100200250300160172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#17
59.11.4
54.255.7
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
red by 1.6
33
#5
57.42.0
51.153.1
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
Second
2834
#31
45.91.4
43.845.2
Auto13.4
Teleop24.2
End8.2
blue by 8.1
9312
#13
54.02.0
50.952.9
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End8.1
Third
9245
#27
35.01.4
37.539.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End5.9
blue by 6.1
5424
#26
41.12.0
37.739.7
Auto12.2
Teleop20.4
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned