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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127126115120130135140145150116150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#20
47.40.2
46.646.4
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End6.1
blue by 8.2
55.62.1
53.355.4
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
Second
9176
#34
42.80.2
40.139.9
Auto12.0
Teleop24.2
End5.8
red by 5.5
7174
#30
37.32.1
35.237.3
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
Third
3667
#36
33.30.2
32.332.1
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 1.7
201
#24
34.92.1
30.032.1
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned