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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130177100150200250145147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8608
#10
50.10.5
46.847.3
Auto14.0
Teleop25.3
End9.8
blue by 14.8
67
#16
64.91.5
63.161.6
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
Second
46.90.5
43.143.6
Auto12.9
Teleop24.7
End8.7
blue by 16.4
63.31.5
62.761.2
Auto17.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Third
123
#18
42.20.5
41.341.8
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
red by 0.5
3604
#12
41.71.5
39.738.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsMissed