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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11314450100200130148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.91.3
65.466.7
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
red by 9.4
55.60.4
53.053.4
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
Second
3096
#33
31.01.3
28.529.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End5.0
blue by 12.9
5901
#19
43.90.4
44.344.8
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
Third
9204
#38
18.71.3
16.117.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 20.4
9227
#15
39.00.4
34.234.6
Auto11.6
Teleop20.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned