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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15111550100200130113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.5
55.454.9
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
red by 13.9
3604
#12
41.70.0
38.138.2
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
Second
1918
#20
47.40.5
46.446.0
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End6.1
red by 8.3
4216
#21
39.10.0
35.235.3
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Third
9226
#29
35.90.5
35.535.0
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
red by 0.9
9245
#27
35.00.0
39.039.0
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsMissed