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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251466080100160180200126146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#16
64.90.4
61.661.9
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
red by 1.6
63.30.5
61.261.7
Auto17.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
Second
123
#18
42.20.4
41.842.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
blue by 1.7
5901
#19
43.90.5
44.845.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
Third
9204
#38
18.70.4
17.517.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 16.4
6637
#35
35.10.5
32.633.0
Auto12.2
Teleop15.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned