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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981245015093132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#30
37.30.1
37.337.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
blue by 12.8
8608
#10
50.10.6
47.347.9
Auto14.0
Teleop25.3
End9.8
Second
4327
#25
37.00.1
36.436.2
Auto10.4
Teleop19.1
End7.7
blue by 2.0
4377
#32
39.00.6
35.636.2
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
Third
4810
#40
24.60.1
21.521.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
blue by 8.7
3667
#36
33.30.6
32.132.7
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned