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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381145010015020025012196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
57.40.3
55.755.4
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
red by 11.5
2834
#31
45.90.9
45.244.3
Auto13.4
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Second
3604
#12
41.70.3
38.237.8
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
red by 2.6
9227
#15
39.00.9
34.633.7
Auto11.6
Teleop20.1
End7.7
Third
201
#24
34.90.3
32.131.8
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
red by 4.0
3096
#33
31.00.9
29.928.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed