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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160131100150200250128121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.71.2
63.262.0
Auto13.3
Teleop39.6
End8.1
red by 6.2
55.60.3
53.453.1
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
Second
573
#23
39.91.2
45.043.7
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
blue by 15.7
55.60.3
54.954.6
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
Third
3603
#14
34.01.2
38.236.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
red by 15.3
9204
#38
18.70.3
17.917.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned