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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16313810015020016483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.9
61.762.6
Auto17.6
Teleop35.6
End8.9
blue by 1.6
64.93.3
66.262.8
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
Second
55.70.9
51.452.3
Auto12.4
Teleop31.0
End11.3
red by 19.7
9226
#29
35.93.3
35.031.7
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Third
9176
#34
42.80.9
42.643.5
Auto12.0
Teleop24.2
End5.8
red by 14.8
4325
#37
28.03.3
31.828.5
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed