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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16210250150200173121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#16
64.91.9
61.963.8
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
red by 25.8
4216
#21
39.11.2
35.336.5
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Second
5166
#17
59.11.9
55.157.0
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
red by 20.0
4377
#32
39.01.2
36.237.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
Third
6569
#28
38.01.9
33.635.5
Auto10.9
Teleop20.6
End6.3
red by 3.0
201
#24
34.91.2
31.833.0
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned