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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1611295010015020025013993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.9
57.356.5
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.6
red by 12.3
2834
#31
45.92.1
44.342.2
Auto13.4
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Second
55.60.9
54.653.7
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
red by 11.7
5901
#19
43.92.1
43.541.4
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
Third
9245
#27
35.00.9
36.735.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End5.9
red by 1.0
3603
#14
34.02.1
36.934.8
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed