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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15789050100200155129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.7
62.263.0
Auto13.3
Teleop39.6
End8.1
red by 15.8
2834
#31
45.92.5
43.646.1
Auto13.4
Teleop24.2
End8.2
Second
55.60.7
52.853.5
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
red by 20.6
201
#24
34.92.5
32.034.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.8
End7.3
Third
4810
#40
24.60.7
23.824.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
red by 5.9
9204
#38
18.72.5
16.218.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned