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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11820150100150250300136190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.0
53.054.0
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
blue by 9.4
64.90.8
63.664.4
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
Second
4327
#25
37.01.0
36.037.0
Auto10.4
Teleop19.1
End7.7
blue by 27.9
67
#16
64.90.8
63.664.4
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
Third
3667
#36
33.31.0
32.333.3
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 24.2
33
#5
57.40.8
57.958.7
Auto15.3
Teleop31.7
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned