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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1511085020013497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.5
54.654.1
Auto12.4
Teleop31.0
End11.3
red by 5.5
8608
#10
50.10.7
50.249.6
Auto14.0
Teleop25.3
End9.8
Second
5901
#19
43.90.5
42.742.2
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2
red by 9.9
3603
#14
34.00.7
34.133.5
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
Third
3572
#11
41.80.5
42.441.9
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
red by 20.0
6005
#39
21.80.7
22.521.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned