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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8715105010020025093135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#28
39.00.2
39.039.2
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
blue by 21.1
60.10.3
57.457.1
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
Second
2619
#31
34.30.2
34.734.9
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
blue by 16.5
469
#5
50.80.3
43.943.7
Auto13.9
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Third
9242
#38
21.30.2
15.715.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
blue by 24.1
910
#23
45.40.3
35.535.3
Auto14.3
Teleop22.7
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned