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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16312050100150200250155118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.20.5
55.956.4
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
red by 16.5
74
#22
43.80.0
44.444.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
Second
1701
#18
54.90.5
53.053.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
red by 14.6
3770
#32
40.30.0
40.140.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
Third
226
#25
44.40.5
43.043.5
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
red by 9.5
3618
#36
34.90.0
33.533.5
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned