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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12414650100200126148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#13
60.50.2
53.753.5
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 0.2
494
#20
60.30.9
59.760.7
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
Second
4237
#40
34.90.2
38.738.5
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
blue by 13.5
8426
#11
48.30.9
39.440.3
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
Third
1940
#34
26.50.2
26.426.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
blue by 19.9
46.40.9
39.940.8
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
33%Sustainability oddsMissed26%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned