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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123123100110130140150150102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#10
52.41.2
50.051.2
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
blue by 2.5
1701
#18
54.90.8
53.552.7
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
Second
107
#24
43.61.2
45.446.6
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1
red by 3.0
4983
#15
40.60.8
35.634.8
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
Third
28.91.2
21.322.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 0.4
8728
#19
29.30.8
24.824.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned