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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311950100200250145131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.6
49.850.3
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 4.3
51.21.1
48.950.0
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
Second
5505
#21
48.00.6
45.646.1
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End5.7
blue by 0.3
8426
#11
48.31.1
40.341.4
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
Third
5314
#28
39.00.6
39.239.8
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
red by 9.5
7226
#37
29.51.1
25.826.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned