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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144145130135140150155160149138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#13
60.50.9
53.554.5
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 5.8
70
#27
54.70.2
51.050.8
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
Second
5152
#16
47.90.9
43.844.8
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
blue by 1.3
49.30.2
45.345.2
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
Third
46.40.9
40.841.8
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
red by 3.3
4130
#29
43.10.2
44.744.5
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned