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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115125050100150200250111153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#14
51.50.1
50.550.6
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
red by 0.7
469
#5
50.81.1
43.744.8
Auto13.9
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Second
3618
#36
34.90.1
33.533.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
blue by 3.6
3322
#17
38.51.1
37.638.7
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
Third
9207
#33
27.70.1
25.225.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
blue by 6.6
2619
#31
34.31.1
34.936.1
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
37%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsEarned