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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10811240608010012014016018013294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#10
52.41.4
51.252.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
red by 8.0
226
#25
44.40.7
44.944.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
Second
4983
#15
40.61.4
34.836.1
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
red by 5.7
4237
#40
34.90.7
37.436.7
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
Third
9242
#38
21.31.4
15.516.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
blue by 7.6
28.90.7
22.521.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned