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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1519950200147118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#18
54.90.8
52.753.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
red by 9.6
910
#23
45.41.2
37.338.5
Auto14.3
Teleop22.7
End7.7
Second
8426
#11
48.30.8
41.442.2
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
red by 3.6
1481
#26
44.71.2
38.339.5
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
Third
74
#22
43.80.8
45.145.9
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
red by 14.5
8728
#19
29.31.2
24.025.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsEarned