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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133128050100150200250300143106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.21.2
55.256.5
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
blue by 0.3
3655
#13
60.51.0
54.553.5
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
49.31.2
45.246.4
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
red by 10.3
5314
#28
39.01.0
39.838.8
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
Third
5860
#39
21.31.2
24.025.2
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
blue by 8.2
7226
#37
29.51.0
26.825.8
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsMissed