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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311880100140160139131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#12
54.81.6
51.052.6
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
red by 8.4
46.41.3
41.843.0
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
Second
910
#23
45.41.6
38.540.1
Auto14.3
Teleop22.7
End7.7
red by 4.8
4983
#15
40.61.3
36.137.4
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
Third
9207
#33
27.71.6
25.326.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
blue by 7.2
3618
#36
34.91.3
33.735.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned