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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16858010015020025014371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#13
60.50.1
53.553.4
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 31.0
7226
#37
29.50.2
25.826.0
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
Second
60.10.1
55.355.2
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
red by 30.8
8728
#19
29.30.2
25.325.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
Third
2619
#31
34.30.1
36.936.9
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
red by 13.0
9242
#38
21.30.2
16.817.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned