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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156157120130140150170180190117164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.32.1
61.659.5
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 0.1
51
#1
60.21.2
56.557.7
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
Second
74
#22
43.82.1
45.943.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
blue by 8.6
5216
#10
52.41.2
52.653.9
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
Third
107
#24
43.62.1
46.043.9
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1
blue by 4.7
8426
#11
48.31.2
42.243.5
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned