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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11713750100150200119152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#27
54.70.4
51.752.1
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
red by 3.9
469
#5
50.81.7
44.846.5
Auto13.9
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Second
3770
#32
40.30.4
39.039.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
blue by 9.0
49.31.7
46.448.1
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
Third
28.90.4
21.822.2
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 15.8
1481
#26
44.71.7
39.541.2
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned