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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810650200147109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.9
50.351.3
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
red by 0.6
1684
#12
54.80.3
52.652.9
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
Second
226
#25
44.40.9
44.245.1
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
red by 16.8
5235
#30
27.60.3
23.924.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End7.4
Third
3322
#17
38.50.9
38.739.6
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
red by 12.0
1940
#34
26.50.3
28.228.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned62%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed