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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135134110120130140150160170144162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.7
55.254.5
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
red by 2.8
1701
#18DQ
54.92.0
53.555.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
Second
46.40.7
43.042.4
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
blue by 1.7
5505
#21
48.02.0
45.647.5
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End5.7
Third
9207
#33
27.70.7
26.926.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
blue by 6.1
9255
#35
33.72.0
32.834.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned