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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311226080100140160180125109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.2
50.851.1
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
red by 3.2
5152
#16
47.90.4
46.145.7
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Second
3618
#36
34.90.2
35.035.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
blue by 8.2
4130
#29
43.10.4
44.143.7
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
Third
4237
#40
34.90.2
36.737.0
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
red by 13.5
5860
#39
21.30.4
25.224.8
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned