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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141141110120130150160170139116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.30.5
59.559.9
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 0.2
60.11.1
55.254.1
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
Second
818
#14
51.50.5
50.250.7
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
red by 6.8
1481
#26
44.71.1
41.240.1
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
Third
28.90.5
22.222.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
blue by 10.1
5314
#28
39.01.1
38.837.7
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned