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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9716050200250109162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4983
#15
40.60.7
37.438.1
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
blue by 14.9
55.41.3
51.352.6
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
Second
2619
#31
34.30.7
36.937.6
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
blue by 20.4
70
#27
54.71.3
52.153.5
Auto16.0
Teleop27.6
End9.9
Third
5235
#30
27.60.7
24.224.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End7.4
blue by 20.7
8426
#11
48.31.3
43.544.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
26%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned