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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119139050100200250300119127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#32
40.30.4
39.439.8
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
blue by 20.0
51
#1
60.20.0
57.757.7
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
Second
3322
#17
38.50.4
39.639.9
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
blue by 5.1
107
#24
43.60.0
43.943.9
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1
Third
9255
#35
33.70.4
34.735.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 4.2
7226
#37
29.50.0
26.026.0
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned