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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481035020013484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#5
50.80.1
46.546.6
Auto13.9
Teleop27.8
End8.3
red by 5.4
910
#23
45.41.2
40.138.9
Auto14.3
Teleop22.7
End7.7
Second
226
#25
44.40.1
45.145.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
red by 9.6
4237
#40
34.91.2
37.035.8
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
Third
4130
#29
43.10.1
43.743.7
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
red by 21.8
5860
#39
21.31.2
24.823.6
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned