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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165157120140180200220170151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3655
#13
60.50.7
53.454.1
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
red by 5.7
1684
#12
54.80.2
52.953.0
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
Second
57.70.7
54.555.3
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
red by 5.3
5216
#10
52.40.2
53.954.0
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
Third
51.20.7
51.151.8
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
red by 7.4
74
#22
43.80.2
43.843.9
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned