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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811650100150200142109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#14
51.51.6
50.752.3
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
red by 3.5
5505
#21
48.00.4
47.547.1
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End5.7
Second
46.41.6
42.443.9
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
blue by 1.5
5152
#16
47.90.4
45.745.3
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Third
8728
#19
29.31.6
25.527.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
red by 8.1
9242
#38
21.30.4
17.016.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
58%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned