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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811850100150200121121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1701
#18
54.9
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
red by 5.6
49.3
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
Second
3618
#36
34.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
blue by 4.1
5314
#28
39.0
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
Third
1940
#34
26.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
blue by 1.2
9207
#33
27.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned