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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121149010012013014015092132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#29
43.11.3
44.042.7
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
blue by 17.2
51
#1
60.21.4
54.455.9
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
Second
4237
#40
34.91.3
40.038.7
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
red by 0.5
2619
#31
34.31.4
33.334.7
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
Third
5235
#30
27.61.3
22.020.7
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End7.4
blue by 1.3
28.91.4
18.019.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned