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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67143050100200250105159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#32
40.32.1
37.940.1
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
blue by 20.2
3655
#13
60.51.6
52.153.7
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
9207
#33
27.72.1
21.323.5
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
blue by 20.7
8426
#11
48.31.6
37.839.4
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
Third
9242
#38
21.32.1
13.615.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
blue by 19.3
4983
#15
40.61.6
35.036.6
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned