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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12814550100200250138121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#12
54.81.1
52.253.2
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
red by 6.8
5505
#21
48.00.9
45.744.8
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End5.7
Second
5314
#28
39.01.1
37.939.0
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
blue by 5.5
226
#25
44.40.9
43.943.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
Third
3618
#36
34.91.1
32.533.5
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
blue by 8.9
74
#22
43.80.9
45.344.4
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned