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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12415450100200150123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.12.0
55.457.4
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
red by 2.4
57.71.2
53.252.0
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
Second
49.32.0
42.744.7
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
blue by 1.5
469
#5
50.81.2
45.143.9
Auto13.9
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Third
8728
#19
29.32.0
22.124.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
blue by 18.6
5152
#16
47.91.2
46.745.5
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsEarned32%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned