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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130151050100200250300350117149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.5
48.147.6
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
blue by 2.3
818
#14
51.50.3
52.352.6
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
Second
8426
#11
48.30.5
44.844.3
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
blue by 2.8
51.20.3
51.852.1
Auto13.1
Teleop29.3
End8.1
Third
3618
#36
34.90.5
35.234.7
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
blue by 4.1
5314
#28
39.00.3
37.738.0
Auto11.6
Teleop20.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
50%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned