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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13613710011012013014015016017098139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.32.0
59.957.9
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 12.3
5505
#21
48.00.7
47.147.8
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End5.7
Second
3770
#32
40.32.0
39.837.8
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
blue by 6.1
46.40.7
43.944.7
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
Third
1940
#34
26.52.0
28.526.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End5.3
blue by 7.8
2619
#31
34.30.7
37.638.3
Auto12.9
Teleop14.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned