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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711450100150200117117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#10
52.4
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
blue by 7.8
51
#1
60.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
Second
5152
#16
47.9
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
red by 18.6
8728
#19
29.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
Third
9207
#33
27.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
red by 0.1
5235
#30
27.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned44%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned